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Deciding Votes 2019 – Voter Turnout and the Upcoming Federal Election

Published Sep 18, 2019, 12:49 PM by Rupen Seoni
Environics Analytics’ Rupen Seoni explores the factors that drive voter turnout in our Federal Elections - First in a Series

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The 2015 federal election had a significant increase in voter turnout overall with 68.3 percent of registered voters casting a ballot. This was 7.2 percentage points higher than in 2011 and the highest turnout in more than 20 years. Much has been written about a young, media-savvy Justin Trudeau running an optimistic campaign. His campaign was combined with a desire for change among voters that inspired not only shifting allegiances in favour of the Liberal Party, but also previously disengaged voters to cast a ballot.

Many factors drive the results we see in a riding race: voter turnout, party platforms, issues in play, desire for change, quality of local candidates and, of course, the party leaders themselves. If we focus on voter turnout, the question for this election is whether those who turned out in larger-than-usual numbers in 2015 will show up at the polls again in this election.

First in a series.

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